If one is to believe the forecasters, the Upper Mid-West will be swinging up and down in temperatures and snow /rain /ice over the next couple of weeks and then transition into a 'normal' Spring pattern by mid-March. But, that is fairly close to what they said last year for my area. I remember last Spring when I was still snowmobiling in late April, which is rare for this area.
If one selectively chooses temperatures within a region, it could be said that last year (2018) was the warmest on record. However, my weather station rated it much cooler as did my AC usage.
So, I tend to believe my Amazon's evaluation much more than most long range forecasters. And our DYH Amazon roster has been pushing edge a bit early this year.