I'm not hording, I'm doing as I would do for a hurricane having back up..
This is a very infectious disease , and 20% and above of the people get this virus will be in the hospital for organ failure, respiratory failure, with 2% or more dying from it. That is 20 times more deadly than the flu. Italy is in the middle of a blow up of this. They have many people in critical care. This is a quote from the doctor
" The contagiousness of this virus is very strong and pretty virulent," said Lombardy's health chief, Giulio Gallera. " ( Virulent , means sever deadly)
2 out if every hundred die ( but first will be in hospital) 2-3 out of every hundred need critical Care, so you can have 5 out of every hundred are The hospital , you can see how hospital get overrun if you have a lot of people infected. My hospital only has room for 4 ICU cases, not set up for isolation.
We do not have community spread in us, but CDC is going to be announcing more cases in the home quarantined and from the Diamond cruise ship, that just reported another death today. And I do feel very safe right now. But worry about supplies chains being disrupted. And if like Italy and Korea , in one day they shut down town and business in one day, the day before no one knew they had a problem.
So I want to be prepared. I'm not worried about food for me, the community would I sure that. But for pets getting food in a sudden lockdown is going to be much more difficult. And parrots needs are more specific.
It's the two week incubation period, then at first symptom are so mild you may not know you are sick, it takes another 8 days for you to get really sick. The slow burn makes it difficult to track compared to other illness.
The H1N1, SARS, and MERS they could identify the sick right away, making it easy to contain. In Korea and Italy, and Iran, they had few or none known cases now 3 days later they are in the hundreds with people dying. In Singapore they did an amazing job of tracking all contacts, announced were all confirm cases had been, alerted the public and are able to contain.
Take the cruise ship cases as they stand now ( rember takes time for more to die) let's call it 600 cases, 3 have died, 36 are in the hospital in sever/ critical / condition. ( Not counting the ones returned to their countries) Now let's say that was doubled you had 1,200 infected, 6 dead, 72 in critical care, you can see how quickly that can over run a local hospital. Plus each need isolated, quarantined or the infection spreads and your doctor's or nurses are the ones in critical care or dying.....
Edit: a jump in Diamond cruise ship cases today
57 new cases (55 crew members and 2 passengers, of which 52 asymptomatic) and 1 new death (a man in his 80s) from the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Japan.
Italy has jumped to 132 cases, 2 dead, 34 in critical condition...
They locked down 11 cities. Those people didn't see that coming. How many wre caught short on pet supplies?