Re: Wuhan virus
Laurasea's Avatar
Re: Wuhan virus
Quote: Originally Posted by ctwo View Post
2,858 Coronavirus deaths this year
76,915 Seasonal flu deaths this year
213,765 Road traffic accident fatalities this year
https://www.worldometers.info/
So based on the above seasonal flu deaths, and the fact that SARS-CoV-2 has a 2% fatality, 20 times that of the flu, we could be looking at
1,538,300 deaths!!!! Plan for the worst, hope for the best!!
This new virus is now called SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2).
It's not in the influenza virus family..
SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2). Is a new virus so no humans have immunity.
SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2). Is highly contagious, more so than influenza by at least a factor of 2. That should be eye-opening, when you compare it the influenza numbers. It is considered more contagious then the 1918 influenza pandemic. This coronavirus also has a higher mortality rate than 1918 influenza.
SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2). Also puts 20% in the hospital with pneumoia. Partly because of the viruses affinity for the cilia structures in the lung. It uses those cells to reproduce destroying those cells in that process. Filling the lungs with cellular debris. Decreasing the lungs ability to process oxygen. Leaving holes in the lungs, in what maybe permanent damage. Then comes the body's immune response to the invader. This happens at about day 9 after you first have just mild symptoms. This immune response from the body can be massive in some people causing more damage to the lungs, then liver and kidneys. As the body says we must kill this new threat and anything related to the threat collateral damage be d******... ( Will cite source)
https://api.nationalgeographic.com/d...es-to-the-body
Because of the long disease process to final outcome. And the fact that early disease is mild , before the weeks later development of severe ( if) it's still to early to tell what current infection outcomes will be. If the current outcome if 2-4% fatality holds. That is 20% to 40% more fatal than seasonal influenza. So when we think of seasonal influenza and compare it to SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), we should really be concerned!
For those 70 and older the mortality rate can be as high as 20% , 200% higher than seasonal influenza. Due to ageing bodies, and imuune soldiers who have training in fighting infections. So the overwhelming immune response. Some disease effect younger people worse than adults due to the disese and lack of untrained immune soldiers. If this instead was causing a 20% fatality in children who were infected, would you feel differently ????
This explains the massive health response by government's around the world, who are racing to identify and contain the infection.
Because So based on the above seasonal flu deaths, and the fact that SARS-CoV-2 has a 2% fatality, 20 times that of the flu, we could be looking at
1,538,300 deaths in a years time is pretty bad, and if you factor in 2× more contagious than the numbers at worst case could be 3,076, 600 deaths in a year. I'm certainly hoping that worst case doesn't happen!!!
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Last edited by Laurasea; Today at 01:15 PM.
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